WSU researchers monitored Twitter to predict a Trump victory

Published: Thursday, November 10, 2016 @ 8:20 PM

WSU tool correctly predicted presidential winner

Researchers at Wright State were right: They accurately predicted that Donald Trump would best Hillary Rodham Clinton in the general election to become the 45th president of the United States.

On the night of the third presidential debate (Oct. 19 in Las Vegas), members of the Applied Policy Research Institute tracked real-time Twitter sentiment about the businessman and former secretary of state using “TWITRIS,” which analyzes tweets send to Twitter.

RELATED: Wright State researchers track Twitter reaction to presidential debate

When researchers used it again on Election Day, the feelings of tweeters early on pointed to the Republican candidate.

“What we saw during Election Day is Trump’s sentiment was much more steady and consistent than Hillary’s, especially in battleground states,” institute director Mike Wiehe told News Center 7’s Natalie Jovonovich on Thursday afternoon. Clinton’s “was much more volatile, which would be indicative potentially of a non-motivated voter base.”

The APRI at WSU studies social sciences, and that includes trends in politics. WSU researchers monitored all three debates and for that third debate hosted a campus event in collaboration with Kno.e.sis and local start-up Cognovi Labs.

Amit Sheth, founder of Cognovi Labs, went so far as to say “polling is dead, asking people what would you do doesn’t work. Listening to what they volunteer works.”

Sheth said, “Social media is an active tool, you have to participate in it to capture the data. You get even better information without doing the exit poll and in real time, at any time.”

APRI got the 2016 general election right because “we were tracking what people were actually saying that were actively doing something online and we could see it,” Sheth said. “And in those battleground states, you could just see that those lines were so much more volatile for Hillary Clinton compared to Trump that she wasn’t going to carry those states.”

Cognovi Labs used “TWITRIS” to successfully call the Brexit vote as well (the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the European Union in June).

APRI’s plan is to collect all of their data and present it to elected officials to show them how to effectively poll people for 2020.

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LATEST: Rumpke trash truck pulled from Xenia nursing home it rammed

Published: Thursday, June 21, 2018 @ 9:00 AM
Updated: Thursday, June 21, 2018 @ 2:22 PM

Trash truck strikes nursing home in Xenia

UPDATE @ 2:15 p.m.: The Rumpke trash truck has been pulled from the building it crashed into this morning. 

PHOTOS: Trash truck crashes into front of nursing home

The office the Rumpke trash truck hit was the home administrator's office, Greene County Administrator Brandon Huddleson said. The nursing home administrator was in the front of the building and was not injured. 

"We've had some of these issues before [a car hit the treasurer's office on Main Street some time ago]... I wasn't expecting to see a trash truck actually inside our building," he said. 

This is the damage done to the Greenwood Manor Nursing Home in Xenia when a Rumpke trash truck crashed into it Thursday morning. (Marshall Gorby/Staff)

Huddleson said, "by the grace of God, the folks that were in those offices were out in the field or out in other places in the building." 

He noted it's hard to imagine that anyone who would have been in the building could have escaped. 

There are about 50 residents in the building, but the entire wing where the truck hit is all administrative/maintenance offices.

There was some ancillary flooding in the damaged portion of the building, because of the sprinkler system that activated. Otherwise, he said, it's business as usual at the nursing home.

UPDATE @ 12:45 p.m.: 

A building support will have to be installed at the Greenwood Manor nursing home before the Rumpke trash truck lodged inside a wing of offices can be pulled out, Greene County building inspectors said.

No employees were in the wing when the truck crashed into the home, 711 Dayton Xenia Road, about 8:45 a.m. 

A Rumpke official said the company and police are continuing to investigate the incident. 

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The trash truck driver was taken to Greene Memorial Hospital, where he was to be treated for non-life threatening injuries, Xenia police said. 

TRENDING: Woman killed in double shooting identified; police arrest man on murder charge

Marshall Gorby/Staff

FIRST REPORT

A trash truck has crashed into a nursing home on Dayton Xenia Road in Xenia Thursday morning. 

Fire crews were initially dispatched to the Greenwood Manor,  711 Dayton Xenia Road, around 8:45 a.m. on reports of a fire alarm from the building. 

Marshall Gorby/Staff

While crews were still responding, dispatchers said a trash truck had crashed into the building. 

Initial reports indicate one person was injured in the crash and the wing where the crash occurred has been evacuated. 

Additional details were not available. 

We have a crew on the way and we’ll update this page as we learn more. 

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Suspect in Seattle-area homicide arrested in raid on Dayton home

Published: Thursday, June 21, 2018 @ 4:59 PM

A 25-year-old man arrested Wednesday in a raid on a home in the 1700 block of Xenia Avenue in Dayton is wanted in the killing of a motel clerk in a Seattle suburb.

Dayevion Royalston was apprehended on a parole violation and a detainer from the King County Sheriff's Office. 

King County sheriff's detectives will travel here for an extradition hearing to return Royalston to SeaTac, an inner-ring suburb of Seattle. 

OTHER LOCAL NEWS: Rumpke trash truck rams nursing home

Several members of the Dayton Police Department, FBI, Safe Streets Task Force and the Montgomery County Sheriff's Office descended on the home, with weapons drawn, late Wednesday afternoon. 

Sheriff Phil Plummer said King County sheriff's officials called his office to relay information that the suspect had associates in Dayton. That information pointed local authorities to a woman living at the Xenia Avenue address, Plummer said. 

Royalston is wanted in the shooting death of a motel clerk in the city of SeaTac early on June 16.

According to The Seattle Times and other news reports in that area, a shuttle driver pulled up to the America's Best Value, south of the Sea-Tac Airport, and found the 40-year-old clerk on the floor and bleeding about 11:15 p.m. 

The sheriff's office has not released any information about what led to the killing.

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Warren County forum to focus on ways to fight opioid epidemic

Published: Thursday, June 21, 2018 @ 4:47 PM


            Warren County is holding a public forum on the opioid crisis on Tuesday, July 17 at the county career center. Pictured is a Your Voice Ohio forum at the MidPointe Public Library in Middletown. Your Voice Ohio is a collaborative of 30 media organizations across the state including this news organization. ED RICHTER/STAFF
Warren County is holding a public forum on the opioid crisis on Tuesday, July 17 at the county career center. Pictured is a Your Voice Ohio forum at the MidPointe Public Library in Middletown. Your Voice Ohio is a collaborative of 30 media organizations across the state including this news organization. ED RICHTER/STAFF

Warren County is taking another step in efforts to combat the effects of the opioid epidemic on the community.

RELATED: Warren County applies for grant studying first responses to overdose cases

County commissioners will host a community forum on Tuesday, July 17, to discuss a recent study conducted by the Addiction Policy Forum on the opioid crisis in Warren County.

The Addiction Policy Forum recommended 21 steps to better respond to the epidemic and its effects on families, as well as drug addicts themselves, in Warren County.

MORE: Ohioans offer solutions to opioid crisis

The recommendations include convening a community coalition on substance-use disorder, launching a public awareness campaign and expanding resources to support those suffering from the disorder and their families and caregivers.

The forum is to begin at 6:30 p.m. at the Warren County Career Center, 3525 N. Ohio 48, north of Lebanon, in Clearcreek Twp.

MORE: Wilmington forum on opioid crisis

The Addiction Policy Forum is affiliated with the U.S. Justice Department. It recently completed an analysis of the existing county network responding to opioid issues, including overdoses, in the county.

Leaders in health, social services, treatment, recovery services, education, business and first responders are to participate in the forum.

For more information, call 513-695-1250 or email sherri.carbo@co.warren.oh.us.

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Flash flood watch for most as storms bring heavy downpours 

Published: Thursday, June 21, 2018 @ 4:21 AM
Updated: Thursday, June 21, 2018 @ 4:25 PM

Multiple chances for showers and storms today in the Dayton area.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH ISSUED UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

Butler, Champaign, Clark, Clinton, Darke, Greene, Miami, Montgomery, Preble, Shelby, Warren and Wayne (Indiana).

>> LISTEN: Cloudy with a Chance of Podcast: A podcast for weather fans 

QUICK-LOOK FORECAST

  • Rain, heavy at times through the evening
  • Storms Friday could be strong
  • Rain chances decrease by Sunday

>> 5-Day Forecast

DETAILED FORECAST

This evening: A Flash Flood Watch is in effect for most of the region until midnight. Rain will be likely, but gradually decrease in coverage through the evening, Storm Center 7 Chief Meteorologist Eric Elwell said. Temperatures will hold to around 70 degrees.

>>LIVE Doppler 7 Interactive HD Radar

Overnight: Expect mostly cloudy skies with a chance for lingering showers. A rumble of thunder is possible. Temperatures will drop into the upper 60s.

Friday: Partly sunny skies are expected to start the day with scattered thunderstorms developing. While the overall severe weather threat is low, one or two storms could become severe with isolated wind damage or even a tornado possible. Highs will be near 80 degrees.

>> County-by-County Weather 

Saturday: Expect a mix of sun and clouds and a chance for a few passing showers or storms. Highs will hold in the upper 70s.

Sunday: Partly sunny skies will end the weekend with a slight chance for a pop-up shower or storm. Highs will reach back into the lower 80s.

>> WHIO Weather App

Monday: Mostly sunny skies will start the new week with highs in the lower 80s.

Tuesday: Skies will be partly cloudy with highs in the lower 80s.

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