Miami Valley could see its first severe weather of the season later today

DAYTON, OH — The main focus today will be on the risk for severe thunderstorms later this evening.

The timeframe to watch is between 7 PM and midnight.

GOOD NEWS: Moisture and instability will be limited... with dew points only projected to reach the 50s, the risk for tornadoes should remain rather isolated.

BAD NEWS: The severe weather threat isn’t zero, so we have to pay attention and stay weather aware.

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Instability is the limiting factor on Thursday.

If we don’t warm up enough, and we don’t see dew points climb into at least the mid-50s, we won’t have the fuel for robust thunderstorm development Thursday evening.

If we do see that warmer, moister, unstable air, then the aforementioned threats of damaging wind and a brief tornado could occur.

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A cooling trend begins on Friday.

Come Sunday, highs in the 30s return along with the chance for snow flurries.