A newly released model from Ohio State University shows a drastic decrease in projected cases in Ohio due to the social distancing measures the state has implemented.
The model is now projecting approximately 1,600 cases per day at the peak, where previously it was projecting 10,000 cases per day at the peak.
>> Coronavirus Pandemic: Ohio cases surpass 5,000, 193 deaths
The model now shows Ohio’s peak occurring mid-late April with a gradual decline of cases over the month of May.
Ohio is in a much better place than state leaders thought we would be in thanks to the efforts made by Gov. DeWine and Ohioans, Lt. Gov. Jon Husted said.
“We have not experienced the catastrophic scenarios we would have had those actions not taken place,” Husted said.
The promising new data comes with caution, according to Dr. Amy Acton
“Every single modeler is saying we must keep doing what we’re doing. You’re succeeding, but the second you ease back we’ll see ourselves in an outbreak that will overwhelm our system,” Acton said. “Don’t stop what you’re doing.”
Acton said it could still be a couple weeks before the state could see a slow easing of restrictions in the business sector, but cautioned that mass gatherings won’t be happening any time soon.
There will be many thoughtful decisions on what we must do to stop a second surge, Husted said.
The emphasis on hygiene will not go away. Hand-washing, sanitizers will still be important. Masks, gloves will become more common.
“Don’t be offended if you don’t get handshakes or hugs for quite a while,” Husted added. “We are going to have to change the way we interact.”