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WSU researchers monitored Twitter to predict a Trump victory

Published: Thursday, November 10, 2016 @ 8:20 PM

WSU tool correctly predicted presidential winner

Researchers at Wright State were right: They accurately predicted that Donald Trump would best Hillary Rodham Clinton in the general election to become the 45th president of the United States.

On the night of the third presidential debate (Oct. 19 in Las Vegas), members of the Applied Policy Research Institute tracked real-time Twitter sentiment about the businessman and former secretary of state using “TWITRIS,” which analyzes tweets send to Twitter.

RELATED: Wright State researchers track Twitter reaction to presidential debate

When researchers used it again on Election Day, the feelings of tweeters early on pointed to the Republican candidate.

“What we saw during Election Day is Trump’s sentiment was much more steady and consistent than Hillary’s, especially in battleground states,” institute director Mike Wiehe told News Center 7’s Natalie Jovonovich on Thursday afternoon. Clinton’s “was much more volatile, which would be indicative potentially of a non-motivated voter base.”

The APRI at WSU studies social sciences, and that includes trends in politics. WSU researchers monitored all three debates and for that third debate hosted a campus event in collaboration with Kno.e.sis and local start-up Cognovi Labs.

Amit Sheth, founder of Cognovi Labs, went so far as to say “polling is dead, asking people what would you do doesn’t work. Listening to what they volunteer works.”

Sheth said, “Social media is an active tool, you have to participate in it to capture the data. You get even better information without doing the exit poll and in real time, at any time.”

APRI got the 2016 general election right because “we were tracking what people were actually saying that were actively doing something online and we could see it,” Sheth said. “And in those battleground states, you could just see that those lines were so much more volatile for Hillary Clinton compared to Trump that she wasn’t going to carry those states.”

Cognovi Labs used “TWITRIS” to successfully call the Brexit vote as well (the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the European Union in June).

APRI’s plan is to collect all of their data and present it to elected officials to show them how to effectively poll people for 2020.

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Rain returns this week, flooding a concern

Published: Sunday, February 18, 2018 @ 4:27 AM
Updated: Sunday, February 18, 2018 @ 11:01 AM

Warmer temperatures and more rain is expected this week in the Dayton area.

Clouds will give way to more sunshine this afternoon. It should be a nice looking day with highs in the middle 40s.

  • Rain returns tomorrow
  • More rain mid-week
  • Flooding possible the next few days

TONIGHT: Clouds return this evening and overnight tonight with rain arriving towards daybreak Monday. Temperatures overnight will be steady in the lower 40s.

MONDAY: Rain returns, and it could be heavy at times. While the chance for storms is not all that high, it can’t be ruled out. Highs will be in the lower to middle 60s.

TUESDAY: More dry time is expected, but storms will be possible later in the evening. Highs will be near 70 degrees.

WEDNESDAY: Rain showers are expected with highs near 60 degrees.

THURSDAY: The chance for rain continues mainly south. Highs will be in the middle 40s. 

FRIDAY: The chance for rain returns again Friday. Highs will be in the middle 50s.

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Injury crash reported I-75 northbound in Dayton

Published: Sunday, February 18, 2018 @ 12:18 PM

Crews have responded to an injury crash on Interstate 75 northbound near West Second Street.

The far left lane was shut down around 11:50 a.m. Sunday.

Traffic has slowed in the remaining lanes.

We are on the scene working to learn more.

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OVI crash overnight knocks over AT&T pole, closes part of road

Published: Sunday, February 18, 2018 @ 10:10 AM

Wires Down Old Springfield Road

Old Springfield Road at Stillwater River is closed due to an OVI accident overnight. 

>>Eliminations and changes to RTA routes go into effect

The road between State Route 48 and Kley is closed after a vehicle hit an AT&T utility pole Sunday around 2 a.m., according to Butler Township Police.

According to police, AT&T is now at the scene. 

It’s not known if there were any injuries. 

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One person injured following serious crash on I-75 South in Monroe

Published: Saturday, February 17, 2018 @ 7:34 PM
Updated: Sunday, February 18, 2018 @ 7:04 AM

VIDEO FOR DIGITAL - EDITED

UPDATE @ 6:58 a.m.:

One person suffered injuries after a crash on I-75 that involved an SUV and semi-tractor trailer in Monroe Saturday.

According to Ohio State Patrol, the person was transported by EMS to West Chester Medical Center with unknown injuries. 

UPDATE @8:20 p.m.:

All lanes have reopened on southbound Interstate 75 in Monroe and the crash has been cleared.

A video sent to this newsroom showed a red SUV with heavy damage to the front.

Officials said injuries were reported, but the extent of injuries is unknown.

>> 3-car crash reported on northbound I-675

FIRST REPORT:

A crash on southbound I-75 in Monroe has slowed traffic.

The crash, involving a semi-tractor trailer and a SUV, was reported after 7 p.m. about a mile south of Ohio 63. Initial reports indicate several lanes are closed.

Injuries have been reported, but the extent of injuries is unknown at this time.

This story will be updated as additional information becomes available.

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