Elwell: Lowest temperatures since 2014 could hit this week

Published: Monday, January 01, 2018 @ 8:00 AM

Tips for battling the cold temperatures

We are not even two weeks into winter and already it feels like the middle of January with bone-chilling cold.

Temperatures fell below zero late last month and they just keep coming. It has been nearly three years since temperatures have fallen more than a couple of degrees below zero.

»RELATED: January will be beautiful month to look into the sky. Here’s why.

The bitterness of winter looks to continue through the rest of this week with temperatures not felt since the “polar vortex” paid the region a visit in 2013 and 2014. If some of the models are correct, parts of the Miami Valley will see temperatures well below zero before this week is over, not to mention some extreme wind chills.

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Interestingly, while temperatures have certainly been low enough for snow, we so far have been spared any major winter storms. Snowfall for the month of December was fairly close to average despite the well below average temperatures.

The colder it is, the less likely we are to have any major snow storms. You may have even heard that it can be too cold to snow. While that saying is not exactly true, it is accurate that the cooler the air is, the less moisture the air can hold. Thus, it is just a bit more difficult to get a bigger snow event when deep arctic air is in place.

Tips to keep your home cozy and heating costs down in the cold

It is when the pattern begins to change that bigger winter storms tend to occur. Such a pattern change … or at least, adjustment, may occur between the second and third week of January. It is very typical, especially in a La Niña year such as we are in, to get a bit of a “January thaw”. Temperatures may even rise well above freezing during this time.

»RELATED: How will La Niña affect the Miami Valley? 

However, it is when the cold air attempts to return when bigger winter storms can develop. Whether that occurs in the coming weeks is still to be seen. But a more active storm track with above normal precipitation being forecast by the Climate Prediction Center over the next week to 10 days.

While we get ready to dive deep into the coldest, snowiest month of the year here in Ohio, it is important to point out some global perspective. Typically, when we talk about how cold it is here in the Ohio Valley, meteorologists typically get sent messages about what we think about climate change. But just some quick fact checks, while the data is still being finalized, 2017 likely will end up as one of the three warmest years on record globally, according to peer-reviewed analysis released by the World Meteorological Organization.

According to the University of Maine, while the eastern half of the United States was locked in a deep freeze in the last week of December, much of the rest of the planet experienced temperatures above seasonably averages. In fact, some of the warmest readings compared to what is normal for this time of year occurred over both the north and south poles.

Despite the brutal cold here in the Miami Valley, most meteorologists and climatologists continue to be alarmed at the warmth at both poles. Arctic and Antarctic sea ice cover remain at near record lows. The current observed rate of sea ice decline and rising temperatures are higher than at any time over the last 1,500 years.

Eric Elwell is WHIO StormCenter 7 Chief Meteorologist. Contact him at eric.elwell@coxinc.com or follow him on Facebook and Twitter.

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Partly cloudy with light showers today, temps to drop below freezing tonight

Published: Thursday, April 19, 2018 @ 3:21 AM
Updated: Thursday, April 19, 2018 @ 12:07 PM

Gradual warm up towards the weekend.

Freeze Warning will go into effect at 2 a.m. Friday for Montgomery, Greene, Warren, Preble and Butler Counties.

>> Live Doppler 7 Interactive Radar

QUICK-LOOK FORECAST

  • Gradual clearing, breezy and cool today 
  • Freeze warning tonight for some
  • Slow warm up this weekend

DETAILED FORECAST

Today: High pressure will slowly move in through the day and clouds will gradually decrease. Temperatures will remain below normal with highs around 50 degrees. It will feel cooler at times due to the winds that may gust over 20mph this afternoon. Later tonight clear skies and lighter winds will allow temperatures to drop quickly. Overnight lows expected around 30 degrees. A freeze warning will go into effect at 2am through 9am tomorrow for our southern counties. Covering sensitive plants outside or bringing them indoors if possible is suggested to keep them from getting damaged.

WHIO Weather App

Friday: Temperatures will be below freezing, making for a chilly morning. There will be plenty of sunshine through the afternoon and temperatures will finally get closer to normal, reaching the upper 50s.

Saturday: Skies will be sunny with highs around 60, making for a beautiful start to the weekend.

Sunday: It will be another nice day with highs in the low 60s, which is back to normal. We’ll see sunshine through the afternoon.

>> County-by-County Weather 

Monday: The dry stretch continues. Highs will reach the mid-60s with sunshine and a few clouds.

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Clear skies in time for the Lyrid Meteor Shower this weekend 

Published: Thursday, April 19, 2018 @ 6:13 AM

The Lyrids peaks this weekend! Meteorologist Kirstie Zontini talks about where and when to look.

Dry and pleasant weather returns just in time for the Lyrid Meteor Shower this weekend, said Storm Center 7 Meteorologist Kirstie Zontini.

RELATED: Tips for viewing a meteor shower

The meteor shower peaks before dawn April 22. The waxing crescent moon will have sets around 2:30 a.m. Sunday morning, meaning the sky will be darker to watch for meteors. Grab a blanket and go outside Saturday night/Sunday morning!

RELATED: SkyWitness7

The Lyrids usually produce 10 to 20 meteors per hour, but can have outbursts which produce around 100. The radiant point, which is the point where the meteors look to come from of the Lyrid shower, is the constellation Lyra. 

Give yourself 30 minutes outside to let your eyes adjust to the darkness and enjoy the show! You might also see some meteors before dawn on the 21 and 23. Don't forget to use the hashtag #SkyWitness7 if you snap a picture.

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WPAFB Thursday Weather: Possible snow showers to start the day 

Published: Thursday, April 19, 2018 @ 12:20 AM

WRIGHT PATTERSON AIR FORCE BASE—A quick blast of wintry weather will start the day with a chance for snow showers, according to Storm Center 7 Chief Meteorologist Eric Elwell.

RELATED: 5-Day Forecast

Little, if any snow accumulation is expected. After starting in the 30s, clearing skies this afternoon will allow temperatures to rebound into the upper 40s. It will be blustery through the day.

RELATED: County-by-County Weather

A steady warming trend will get underway Friday with sunny skies. Highs will rebound into the 50s. Dry weather will stick around through the weekend with highs reaching up to 60 degrees by Sunday.

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Rain and snow possible overnight

Published: Wednesday, April 18, 2018 @ 3:36 AM
Updated: Wednesday, April 18, 2018 @ 7:00 PM

Rain and snow return later today.

    It will be blustery and turn colder overnight, Storm Center 7 Chief Meteorologist Eric Elwell said. Passing rain or snow showers are possible before daybreak, with little, if any, snow accumulation. Temperatures will fall into the middle 30s.

    QUICK-LOOK FORECAST

    • Colder air moving in overnight

    • Chance for rain/snow showers again by morning

    • Calmer, milder weather this weekend

     

    >> Live Doppler 7 Interactive Radar

Meteorologist Kirstie Zontini looks at how the pollen count will change this week.

WHIO Weather App

DETAILED FORECAST

Thursday: Expect a mix of rain or snow showers in the morning. A coating of snow will be possible on grassy and elevated surfaces in the morning, mainly north. Skies will clear in the afternoon with blustery, cool conditions. Temperatures will hold in the upper 40s.

>> County-by-County Weather 

Friday: Sunshine returns to end the week with milder temperatures in the middle 50s.

Brigitte Taylor, takes advantage of the nice weather on Wednesday to work in her yard

Saturday: Partly cloudy skies will start the weekend with temperatures reaching back into the middle to upper 50s.

Sunday: Dry weather will end the weekend with some high clouds and sunshine. Highs will top out in the lower 60s.

Monday: A bit more cloud cover is expected with highs reaching into the middle 60s.

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