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March Forecast VII: Where Dayton Flyers stand in NCAA tourney picture

Published: Friday, March 03, 2017 @ 8:31 AM
By: David Jablonski

Nine days remain until Selection Sunday. The Dayton Flyers, in all probability, stamped their tickets for a fourth straight trip to the NCAA tournament — something UD has never accomplished — with a 79-72 victory Wednesday on Senior Night at UD Arena.

EARLIER: March Forecast VI

Here’s a summary of where Dayton stands in the NCAA tournament picture:

Dayton (24-5, 15-2) takes a nine-game winning streak into the regular-season finale at 8 p.m. Saturday at George Washington. The Flyers rank 21st (up three spots from last week) in the RPI, 33rd (up one spot) in the Pomeroy ratings, 32nd (up two spots) in the Sagarin ratings, 24th (up four spots) in the KPI Sports ratings and 32nd (up three spots) in ESPN’s Basketball Power Index.

Dayton has four top-50 wins: one against No. 22 VCU and No. 49 Vanderbilt and two against No. 44 Rhode Island. Dayton is 11-4 against teams in the top 100, and its strength of schedule ranks 72nd.

Here’s what the experts say about Dayton:

Joe Lunardi, ESPN: No. 7 Dayton vs. No. 10 Arkansas in Tulsa.

Jerry Palm, CBS: No. 8 Dayton vs. No. 9 Seton Hall in Tulsa.

Michael Beller, Sports Illustrated: No. 8 Dayton vs. No. 9 Marquette.

Stewart Mandel, Fox Sports: No. 8 Dayton vs. No. 9 Northwestern in Buffalo. Note: This is a regular-season rematch the NCAA would likely try to avoid.

131Sports: No. 8 Dayton vs. No.9 Arkansas in Tulsa.

Bracketologist: No. 7 Dayton vs. No. 10 Southern California in Indianapolis.

USA Today: No. 7 Dayton vs. No. 10 Illinois in Indianapolis.

Bracket Matrix: Dayton’s average seed is 7.50. The Flyers are listed on all 123 brackets and range as high as a No. 5 seed and as low as a No. 9.

North Florida Dance Card: Dayton ranks 21st with a 100 percent chance of making the field.