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UPDATE:

Warren up over Biden in national poll day before Ohio debate

Published: Monday, October 14, 2019 @ 3:01 PM
Updated: Monday, October 14, 2019 @ 3:01 PM

FILE - In this Oct. 2, 2019 file photo, Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., speaks during a gun safety forum in Las Vegas. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren raked in more cash over the past three months than any of their Democratic rivals.
AP Photo/John Locher
FILE - In this Oct. 2, 2019 file photo, Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., speaks during a gun safety forum in Las Vegas. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren raked in more cash over the past three months than any of their Democratic rivals.(AP Photo/John Locher)

As 12 Democratic presidential candidates prepare for Tuesday night’s debate near Columbus, a new national poll shows Sen. Elizabeth Warren up slightly over former Vice President Joe Biden in the Democratic race for president.

The Quinnipiac University poll released Monday afternoon has Warren at 30% and Biden at 27%. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders is third at 11%. South Bend, Ind. Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 8%. California Sen. Kamala Harris is at 4%. No other candidate tops 2%.

You can listen to Tuesday’s  debate on 1290 and 95.7 WHIO, with special LIVE coverage beginning at 7 pm.  The candidates are debating at Otterbein University near Columbus.

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The poll results compare to an October 8 poll from Quinnipiac University, in which Warren received 29 percent, Biden got 26 percent, and Sanders had 16 percent of the vote.
"For Senator Warren, the third straight time essentially tied at the top is the charm," said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy. "Her candidacy clearly has staying power going into the debate."

In this Oct. 10, 2019, photo, Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., speaks during the Power of our Pride Town Hall in Los Angeles.(AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)

More information from the poll:

However, on the question of electability - which candidate has the best chance of winning against President Donald Trump - Biden retains his commanding lead with 48 percent saying he has the best chance, compared to 49 percent in August. While still trailing Biden, Warren has increased her support from 9 percent in August to 21 percent today. No other candidate gets into double digits.

Among all registered voters, Joe Biden's favorability rating is mixed, with 41 percent saying favorable and 43 percent saying unfavorable. Elizabeth Warren receives a similar mixed rating, with 36 percent saying favorable and 39 percent saying unfavorable, while Bernie Sanders finds himself underwater, with 39 percent favorable and 47 percent unfavorable. Donald Trump gets the worst net favorability rating among registered voters, with 39 percent favorable and 56 percent unfavorable.

President Trump and Congress

Today, 41 percent of registered voters approve of the job President Trump is doing, while 54 percent disapprove. This compares to a negative 40 - 54 percent approval in an October 8 poll. Democrats in Congress are also negatively viewed by registered voters as only 35 percent approve of the job they are doing, while 58 percent disapprove. Republicans in Congress are viewed even more negatively as only 28 percent approve of the job they are doing, while 64 percent disapprove.

When it comes to how he is handling the economy, President Trump does better, receiving a mixed 49 - 46 percent approval rating. Asking voters about how he is handling foreign policy, however, brings him back into negative territory, with a 57 - 37 percent disapproval.

Impeachment

Voters remain split on whether President Trump should be impeached and removed from office, with 46 percent saying he should be impeached and removed and 48 percent saying he should not be impeached and removed. In an October 8 Quinnipiac University poll, 45 percent of voters said that Trump should be impeached and removed, while 49 percent said he should not be impeached and removed.

While voters are split on impeaching and removing the president, a slim majority approve of the impeachment inquiry being conducted by the U.S. House of Representatives, 51 - 45 percent, compared to a 53 - 43 percent approval last week. Today, 51 percent say that the inquiry is a legitimate investigation, while 43 percent say it is a political witch hunt. A stronger majority, 59 percent, disapprove of the way President Trump is responding to the impeachment inquiry, and 32 percent approve of the way he's responding.

FILE - In this Sept. 19, 2019 file photo, Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., speaks during the Climate Forum at Georgetown University in Washington. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren raked in more cash over the past three months than any of their Democratic rivals.(AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana)


Two thirds of voters, 66 percent, say that it is not acceptable for the President of the United States to ask a foreign leader to investigate a political rival, while 24 percent say it is acceptable. Republicans say this is acceptable 53 - 34 percent, Democrats say it is not acceptable 95 - 3 percent, and independents say 69 - 21 percent that it is not acceptable.

Despite most voters feeling that this behavior is unacceptable, only 44 percent say that asking a foreign leader to investigate a political rival is a good enough reason to impeach a president and remove them from office, while 47 percent say it is not a good enough reason.

From October 11 - 13, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,195 self-identified registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percentage points, including the design effect. The survey includes 505 Democratic voters and independent voters who lean Democratic with a margin of error of +/- 5.3 percentage points, including the design effect.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.