Could a coming storm system turn into a ‘weather bomb’?

Published: Monday, November 13, 2017 @ 10:49 AM
Updated: Wednesday, November 15, 2017 @ 2:46 PM

A major storm system set to impact the Miami Valley late this week has slowed down. This will help limit the threat for severe thunderstorms. However, the threat for strong winds remains and winds could gust over 40mph as we start the weekend. Chief Meteorologist Eric Elwell details what to look out for.

UPDATE (Nov 15) 2:30 p.m.

The first of two major storm systems to impact the Miami Valley is crossing the area this evening bringing with it showers and breezy conditions. 

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We are still tracking a stronger system which will impact our area Friday into Saturday. There have been some changes in how the late week storm is set to evolve. Earlier model runs from a few days ago showed this storm system rapidly strengthening and pushing across the Miami Valley late on Friday. 

That timing would have increased the risk for severe storms in our area late Friday and produced a significant threat for high winds. While the threat for strong winds still appears to be on the table, the timing has changed based on the latest model runs.

Miami Valley prepares for strong winds this week

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Now, the storm system is forecast to move into the Ohio Valley early Saturday morning which will lower the threat for any severe storms. It also appears the storm system will not quite “bomb out” as it moves across the Great Lakes, although it will still intensify rapidly as it moves into the region. It now appears the storm system will not meet the definition of a “bombogenesis” which would mean the storm system would need to strengthen 1 millibar per hour for 24 hours.

That being said, there will still be a strong low-level jet stream that sets up with and just behind the storm system. As the storm system moves into the region late Friday, gusty winds will pick up to near or over 25 mph. As the cold front crosses early Saturday morning, wind gusts of over 40mph will be possible.

As cold air ushers in on Saturday morning, wind gusts could jump to between 40 to 50mph briefly before diminishing some Saturday afternoon and evening.

It will remain blustery through the weekend with temperatures falling from the 50s into the 30s Saturday and holding in the 30s on Sunday.

There will also be the chance for some scattered flurries or snow showers late Saturday night into Sunday, especially north of I-70. 

FIRST REPORT

As the seasons begin to change, the clash of warm and cold air masses fuel big storms, and we’ve certainly been a witness to that this month.

November is certainly known in history to produce some doozies. Just this past weekend, we passed the anniversary of the Veteran’s Day tornado outbreak that killed 36 people, including four in Ohio, in 2002. It was also the 42-year anniversary of a severe Great Lakes storm in 1975 that sank the Edmund Fitzgerald, killing all 29 on board.

A little more than a week ago, another massive storm produced 17 tornadoes in Ohio alone, with more in Indiana. Now, if the forecast models are correct, another major storm looks to impact the Miami Valley by the end of this week.

» READ MORE: National Weather Service confirms 17 tornado touchdowns in Ohio

Since last weekend, our long-range models have been showing the potential for another intense storm system to develop across the Northern and Central Plains late this week. The storm system is then forecast to begin “bombogenesis” as it sweeps into the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes. Bombogenesis refers to a rapidly intensifying area of low pressure.

To be classified as a weather bomb, the central pressure of an intensifying storm system must drop at least 24 millibars within 24 hours. Such storm systems are known to produce very strong, and in some cases near hurricane-force, winds. These types of systems are quite common near New England in the winter when Nor-Easters produce massive amounts of snow and blizzard conditions up the East Coast.

» READ MORE: 15 damaging storms that pounded Ohio in recent history

Sometimes these power storm systems can form near or over the Great Lakes and are aided by the relatively warm waters of the lakes. Late this week, we may get to witness what one of these intense storm systems looks — and feels — like.

At this point, it is too early to know if severe winds will be felt across the Miami Valley, but the potential exists for wind gusts to exceed 50 mph by late Friday and perhaps into Saturday. With such wind speeds, some power outages could be possible and should be planned for. If you have any loose items still outside, you’ll want to secure those before you go to bed Thursday night.

» WEATHER: Get the latest Storm Center 7 forecast

The greatest impact from the high winds will likely be closer to the Great Lakes themselves, not to mention on the Great Lakes where waves could grow to over 10 to 15 feet (or perhaps higher). Also, if you have early Thanksgiving Day travel plans, some flights could be impacted by this storm beginning late Thursday and through the weekend.

One other important note, if you have already started decorating for the holidays, or are planning to start later this week or even into the weekend, you may either want to make sure everything is secure or just hold off until the weekend after Thanksgiving. Otherwise, your Santa Claus may just take flight after all, along with the rest of your decorations.

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MUST-SEE VIDEO: Shot fired during Verizon store robbery

Published: Tuesday, April 17, 2018 @ 6:49 PM
Updated: Wednesday, April 25, 2018 @ 7:15 PM

SURVEILLANCE VIDEO: Shot fired in Butler Twp.Verizon robbery

UPDATE @ 5:05 p.m. (April 25): Police have released surveillance video that shows the robbery at the Verizon store on Miller Lane.

INITIAL REPORT (April 17)

Police are looking for as many as five males who discharged at least one firearm when they robbed a person of a purse and a cell phone at the Verizon store on Miller Lane. 

The robbery was reported just after 6 p.m. at the store at 7070 Miller Lane. At least one shot was fired inside the showroom. 

>> 7 arrested in Huber Heights AT&T store robbery 

No one was injured, Butler Twp. Detective Kevin Sink said. 

The car believed to have been used in the armed robbery, reportedly a blue Hyundai Elantra, was located Tuesday evening in the 1500 block of Weaver Street in Dayton. 

Jim, a contractor from Tennessee, said he and a co-worker were in a company van outside the store when a car pulled up. 

This car is believed to have been used in an armed robbery at the Verizon store on Miller Lane, in Butler Twp., on Tuesday afternoon (April 17, 2018). The car was located in Dayton, on Weaver Street. (Jim Noelker/Staff)

Three males came runing out and jumped in the car, Jim said, noting that seconds later a fourth male -- who had a dark or black handgun -- came out. He was wearing a hoodie and a white mask, as they all were. He was holding the firearm down at his side, pointed downward. 

>>TRENDING NEWS: All Elder-Beerman stores to close 

Jim said his co-worker was able to jot down the license plate of the getaway car. Jim said he was getting in position to snap a cell phone photo of the car when he saw the firearm and decided to crouch behind the van. 

"I don't want to get shot," he said. "I'm too close to retirement." 

The robbers looked to be young men in their 20s, Jim said, noting that they dropped a backpack and a blue Walmart bag outside the Verizon store. 

"My life is worth more than a picture," he said. "I'm just glad nobody got hurt."

RELATED

>> Springfield Verizon store robbed in January 

>> Troy Verizon store robbed in March 2017

>> Verizon store at The Greene robbed in February

Got a tip? Call our monitored 24-hour line, 937-259-2237, or send it to newsdesk@cmgohio.com

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DASH CAM: See police bump car of Troy phone store burglary suspects

Published: Friday, April 13, 2018 @ 4:14 AM
Updated: Wednesday, April 25, 2018 @ 6:37 PM

A Tipp City police cruiser was struck by two suspects in the break-in at the Troy Verizon store near Kroger.

UPDATE @ 7 p.m. (April 25): Police have released dashboard camera video from their pursuit of a vehicle believed to have been used as part of a burglary at a Troy Verizon store.

The suspects were able to elude capture when officers lost the vehicle in the area of Dorset and Philadelphia drives.

On April 13, police responded to a Verizon store in the 700 block of West Market Street in Troy about 3:40 a.m. on the report of a break-in. A Kroger employee reported hearing something being thrown through the store’s front glass, police said. 

>> Pair napped in Kettering pursuit were in Miami County chase, too

A pursuit began when a Tipp City officer noticed the suspect vehicle on southbound Interstate 75.

The suspect vehicle rammed the cruiser on Northwoods Boulevard in Vandalia, Tipp City Sgt. Marc Basye said. The officer was not injured.

SCENE: Troy break-in leads to pursuit through several counties

The silver vehicle was occupied by three males, according to reports. What the suspects got away with was not known.

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Convicted Warren County child rapist gets 15 years to life in prison

Published: Tuesday, April 24, 2018 @ 9:04 PM
Updated: Tuesday, April 24, 2018 @ 9:57 PM

Warren County child rape mug
Warren County child rape mug

David Randall King, 58, was sentenced Tuesday to life in prison with parole eligibility after 15 years in a child rape case where he was the caretaker. 

King, of Pleasant Plain, in the Warren County village of Harlan Twp., was convicted by a county jury in March on two counts of rape and one count of gross sexual imposition. Both are felonies. 

County Prosecutor David Fornshell, in a prepared statement released Tuesday afternoon, said that from January 2014 to October 2015, King sexually assaulted a (then) 5- to 6-year-old girl he was a caretaker of at the time. 

After the assaults, he discouraged the child from telling anyone and told her she "wasn't brave enough to tell anyone." 

OTHER LOCAL NEWS: Woman arrested for child endangerment

Fornshell said the crimes came to light in May 2016 when the child told her foster parents about the assaults. They, in turn, reported the crimes to Warren County Children Services. 

"We often hear the word 'courage' overused when describing everyday actions. In this case, a nine year-old girl sat in a courtroom in front of a judge, 12 jurors, the attorneys, and everyone else in that audience, with her rapist looking right at her, and described in exact detail what he did to her,” Fornshell said in the statement.

“THAT is courage," he said.

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George H.W. Bush recovering after infection, moved out of intensive care

Published: Wednesday, April 25, 2018 @ 2:44 PM
Updated: Wednesday, April 25, 2018 @ 2:44 PM

Biography of George H.W. Bush

Former President George H.W. Bush has been moved from the intensive care unit at Houston Methodist Hospital to a regular patient bed days after he suffered an infection that spread to his blood, a family spokesman said Wednesday.

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