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Published: Tuesday, January 09, 2018 @ 4:09 PM
Updated: Wednesday, January 10, 2018 @ 8:40 AM
— UPDATE @ 8:40 a.m. (Jan. 10):
Our Storm Center 7 meteorologists are closely monitoring a potential winter storm that could impact the Miami Valley as we end the week.
The travel forecast for Thursday through Saturday is a mixed bag of precipitation, Storm Center 7 Meteorologist Kirstie Zontini said Wednesday.
The evening commute is expected to feature wet roads as rain showers move in through the overnight.
“As cold air cuts in with this system on Friday, road conditions will deteriorate quickly,” Zontini said. “There is still the potential, especially in the Dayton-area, to see a wintry mix before the whole region transitions to snow for Friday evening.”
“The snow should stop accumulating Saturday morning, but with temperatures in the 20s, then single digits Saturday night, even if the Miami Valley doesn't see the most snow from this system, slick roads will likely be a problem,” Zontini said.
FIRST REPORT (Jan. 9)
This has the potential to be one of the biggest winter storms to impact our region in a couple of years. However, there are a lot of unknown variables at this point, so a lot could change.
As is typical with these systems, the exact track will be crucial to not only determine how much snow we get and also whether the precipitation falls as snow, sleet, freezing rain or just plain rain. However, much of the long-range model data does show a significant winter storm moving through Ohio beginning midday Friday and lasting into Saturday.
The two major models we use are the European model and the American, GFS model. The European model shows snowfall amounts in the Dayton-metro area of between 5 to 8 inches with the GFS model tops out between 8 to 11 inches of snow.
Higher amounts could fall north of the main track. We will have to monitor this storm very closely as we have seen quite a bit of variability in each model run, we just don’t exactly know how much snow will fall or if rain winds up being the primary precipitation we receive.
It is also important to note that most of the models show gusty winds with this system, which could lead to blowing and drifting of the snow, regardless of the amounts. Temperatures will also be dropping through the day Friday with highs back into the teens this weekend.
We want to let people know that now is the time to be sure you are prepared for a significant storm, even if it turns away from us. We certainly do not want to add hype, however, it is better to be ready instead of having to rush to prepare if the warnings get issues.
Our meteorologists should know a lot more about the track of this major storm by late Wednesday or early Thursday.
Published: Tuesday, February 20, 2018 @ 12:21 AM
— WRIGHT PATTERSON AIR FORCE BASE—Unseasonably warm weather will continue today with temperatures soaring into the 70s this afternoon, according to Storm Center 7 Chief Meteorologist Eric Elwell.
RELATED: 5-Day Forecast
Skies will be partly sunny with gusty winds over 20mph at times. Showers and even a few thunderstorms will push into the area late tonight and linger into Wednesday. Temperatures will slowly drop through the 60s tonight and continue to fall through the 50s Wednesday. A brief break in the precipitation is expected Wednesday afternoon before another wave of rain pushes into the area Wednesday night.
RELATED: County-by-County Weather
As temperatures drop into the 30s early Thursday morning, rain may mix with sleet or change to freezing rain early Thursday before temperatures rebound above freezing Thursday afternoon.
Published: Sunday, February 18, 2018 @ 11:40 PM
WRIGHT-PATTERSON AIR FORCE BASE — A soggy start to your Monday is expected.
Widespread showers will be around during the morning, some of which could be heavy at times. There is even the chance for a few rumbles of thunder.
Ponding on the roads will be a concern through the morning. Even though we’re expecting a lot of rain and clouds Monday, temperatures will warm into the 60s in the afternoon.
Published: Friday, February 16, 2018 @ 12:26 PM
— Steady, and even heavy rain at times worked across the Miami Valley over the last 24 hours.
“Some areas saw more than an inch of rain in this short period of time, leading to some standing water and minor flooding,” Storm Center 7 Meteorologist McCall Vrydaghs said.
“This rain was also accompanied by embedded thunderstorms that not only brought some gusty winds, but enhanced the rainfall. Areas that were low-lying and prone to this type of flooding were impacted the most.”
Storm Center 7’s Live Doppler 7 Radar estimated some areas received up to 2.5-inches of rain in a 24-hour period.
Celina: 0.9-inches of rain
Huber Heights: 1-inch
Published: Thursday, February 15, 2018 @ 3:19 AM
Updated: Friday, February 16, 2018 @ 2:04 AM
— UPDATE @ 1:41 (Feb. 16): All Flood Advisories issued have now expired, according to The National Weather Service Wilmington.
UPDATE @ 9:55 p.m.: A Flood Advisory has been issued until 1 a.m. for southern Preble and northern Butler counties, according to the National Weather Service in Wilmington.
A Flood Advisory has been issued until 12:30 a.m. for southern Wayne, Union and Fayette counties in east central Indiana. The National Weather Service in Wilmington is reporting that radar indicated an area of heavy rain moving through the area -- 1 to 1 ½ inches in the next hour.
A Flood Watch remains in effect until Friday afternoon for Shelby, Miami, Montgomery, Logan, Champaign, Clark, Greene, Warren and Clinton counties. A half to 1 ½ inches of rain is possible today. Rising water in streams and creeks is possible. Streets may also experience flooding in low lying or or poorly drained spots. Drivers and those who live near streams or rivers should be cautious.
THIS EVENING : Rain will be likely. A thunderstorm is also possible. There is a low risk a storm could produce strong winds. Rain could also be heavy at times and produce localized flooding. Temperatures will hold near 60 degrees.
TONIGHT: Rain will be likely, locally heavy at times. Gusty winds will remain possible. Temperatures will turn colder by morning, dropping into the middle 30s.
Friday: Widespread rain continues to slowly drift southeast. Showers should be around through about 8 a.m. before exiting completely. Roads will be wet and there will be some high water or ponding in spots through the morning. Conditions dry out through the day with temperatures in the 50s right now but expected to fall through the day getting into the low to mid 30s for the afternoon. We’ll see broken clouds this afternoon as well.
Saturday: Clouds will increase with a threat for rain and/or snow showers in the afternoon and evening. Little or no snow accumulation is expected. Highs will be in the upper 30s.
Sunday: Skies are expected to be mostly sunny, although clouds will return late. Highs will be milder, reaching into the upper 40s.
Monday: Rain will develop with mild temperatures in the lower 60s.
Tuesday: Rain likely with highs soaring into the upper 60s.